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Know what every offer earned.

Your agents write offers as documents. Offer Suite checks each one against a real Shopify cart before it goes live, then reports what every option made after its costs, with renewals and refunds counted and each order costed as of the day it sold.

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OF_DEV_KITS

choose-your-kit-v1
Live

Realized margin

$10,159.34USD

+$3,019.34 (+42.3%) vs forecast

418 attributed orders

Sep 16, 2026$10,159.34forecast $7,140.001 restatement in this range, marked on the time axis
Forecast

Your agent drafted v4

Starter kit compare-at $80.00 → $90.00. Forecast margin unchanged; cart parity not yet checked.

Offer details

Orders
1,284
Renewals
412
Net revenue
$71,420.00
Average order
$55.62
Refund rate
3.1%forecast 5.0%
Processing
2.9%forecast 3.0%
Live version
v3since Sep 12
Draft
v4by agent
Cart parity
3 of 3 match
Last verified
Sep 16, 9:42 AM
Profile
dtc-us
Store
offer-suite-demo

Economics

Where one first order's revenue goes, with the costs effective now.

Revenue$48.00
cogsper unit−$21.50
3pl_baseper order−$1.18
3pl_extra_pickper unit−$0.20
3pl_labelper order−$0.10
3pl_insertper order−$0.05
packagingper unit−$0.50
refundspercent−$2.40
processingpercent−$1.44
4 declared kinds cost nothing on this option$0.00
Gross margin43.0%$20.63

Forecast versus actual

Starter kit margin per first order, by offer version.

ForecastRealized

Realized nets refunds but carries no refund or processing estimate, so it is compared with the forecast before rates.

Activity

All activity →
Example: an offer's page in the dashboard, rendered from its own components. Option margins are the dev store's forecast for OF_DEV_KITS; sales and activity are specimen data.
Costs as of the saleEach order keeps what it cost that day. A later correction restates past orders, and the recorded view stays.
Profit per optionRealized profit for every offer option, first orders and renewals apart, net of refunds, cancellations excluded.
A real cart before launchNothing goes live until a Storefront cart charges exactly what the offer promises.
Offers as documentsAgents write offers through the API and MCP. Each is validated before it reaches Shopify.

An offer engine for Shopify brands and the agents that run them. The offer is a document, a real cart proves it before it goes live, and every order is priced after its costs, as of the day it sold, so the number you read is the one you earned.

Profit per option, before you launch.

The same offer holds your best and worst deal. On the dev store, the Ritual Set subscription keeps 32.7% of its first order and 62.3% of every renewal. Change anything and the simulator reprices the draft against the live version at today's conversion, down to the conversion lift it would need to break even.

Price your own options →

Margin waterfall

One first order, costs effective now

Revenue $58.60 to gross margin $19.18 (32.7%)
Revenue
$58.60
cogs
−$32.50
3pl_base
−$1.18
3pl_extra_pick
−$0.40
3pl_label
−$0.10
3pl_insert
−$0.05
packaging
−$0.50
refunds
−$2.93
processing
−$1.76
Gross margin
$19.18

4 declared kinds cost nothing on this option

What-if against live

Profit per order per option, before anything is stored

Profit per visitor · Live v3

$1.32

What-if: starter kit at $44.00

$1.20

−$0.12 per visitor

Needs 10.0% more conversion to break even. Conversion from 18,420 visitors over 30 days, assumed unchanged.

Live v3What-if: starter kit at $44.00
Single bag
Starter kit
Ritual set
OF_DEV_KITS v1 · forecast · refunds 5.0%, processing 3.0% · the dev store has no carrier postage entered, so these margins run higher than the calculators', which charge a shipping label
OptionPriceCOGSFulfilmentRefunds + feesMarginFirst orderRenewal
Single BagSubscribe$32.00$12.00$1.33$2.56$16.1150.3%58.8%
Single BagOne-time$40.00$12.00$1.33$3.20$23.4758.7%—
Starter KitSubscribe$48.00$21.50$2.03$3.84$20.6343.0%60.7%
Starter KitOne-time$60.00$17.50$1.33$4.80$36.3760.6%—
Ritual SetSubscribe$58.60$32.50$2.23$4.69$19.1832.7%62.3%
Ritual SetOne-time$80.00$22.50$1.33$6.40$49.7762.2%—

From a sentence to a priced purchase.

One path, the same for every offer. Nothing skips a step.

  1. DescribeYour agent reads the catalog and writes the offer: options, lines, price, gifts.
  2. SimulateThe draft is priced against the live version: profit per order, per visitor, and the lift it needs to break even.
  3. BuildWe create the discount, gift lines and order tags in Shopify, and record every id.
  4. VerifyA real Storefront cart must charge exactly what the offer promises, or it stays a draft.
  5. TrackThe offer's identity and its version ride through the page, the cart, checkout and the order.
  6. PriceOrders come in, costs are applied, and you see profit per offer, option and renewal.

Costs are a ledger.

COGS with history, and every cost Shopify has no field for. Rows are appended, never edited: correct a cost today and every order it touches is repriced, while what you believed at the time stays on file. Realized profit comes in both views, current costs and as recorded.

  • COGS
  • Pick and pack
  • Extra pick
  • Shipping label
  • Insert
  • Packaging
  • Refund reserve
  • Payment processing

Cost ledger

Amounts by kind and product over valid time; corrections and backdated rows marked

CorrectedBackdatedVoided
cogssingle-bag
$12.00
cogsstarter-kit
$21.50
cogsritual-set
$30.00
packagingstarter-kit
$0.50
gift_fulfilmentall SKUs
$0.90
3pl_baseall SKUs
$1.18

Nothing goes live until a real cart agrees.

A discount code set up wrong can quietly charge full price. Before a version publishes, we build a Storefront cart and compare every line.

OF_DEV_KITS · publish v2 · example run
passOffer document is validschema
passDiscount applies on subscription linescart
passCharged $58.60 equals promised $58.60cart
passGift line is $0 and marked as a giftcart
passFree shipping reaches checkoutdelivery
5/5Version 2 publishedlive

Offers

OfferStatusVersionCart parityOrdersNet revenueMarginvs forecast30 days
OF_DEV_KITSchoose-your-kit-v1Livev3 · draft v4Match3/31,284$71,420.00$31,206.40+$2,628.409.2%
OF_DEV_RITUALritual-set-sub-v1Livev1Match1/1612$35,863.20$11,738.16−$617.805.0%
OF_MUG_GWPgift-with-purchase-v2Verifiedv2Not cart-verifiable2/3–––––
OF_FROTHER_BUNDLEbundle-and-save-v1Livev2Mismatch1/2208$14,559.00$4,021.30−$884.1018.0%
OF_BFCM_TRIPLEtiered-quantity-v1Draftv1Unverified0/3–––––
OF_SUMMER_STARTERchoose-your-kit-v0Retiredv5Match3/33,940$201,104.00$84,249.50––
Example: the offers list, with each offer's cart parity. Specimen data.

More buyers is not more profit.

Put the new version against the live one on the same traffic. Each visitor is assigned an arm from their own id, so the page, the cart and the order all carry the version they were shown. The metric is realized profit per visitor, never conversion.

OF_DEV_KITS · v1 against v2 · profit per visitor, realized, current costs · example run
ArmTrafficVisitorsBuyersConversionProfit per visitor
v1live version50.0%48,0001,8003.75%$1.42
v2candidate50.0%48,0001,7003.54%$1.68
v2 winsv2 sells to 100 fewer people and earns $0.26 more per visitor, 18.3% above the live version. The whole 95% interval is above zero, so it can stop now: it was sized at 57,844 visitors per arm to catch a 10.0% lift, and the interval is valid at every look, not only at the end.
no change$0.09$0.43$0.26 per visitor

The interval is an always-valid confidence sequence, so reading the report hourly cannot manufacture a winner. Every arm's options are re-proved with real carts each day; an arm that stops matching pauses its experiment and everyone sees the live version again. Promoting the winner is still your call.

Your agent does the work. You approve it.

Claude, ChatGPT or your own agent. Everything it does starts as a draft; publishing needs a green cart and an explicit yes, and refuses without it.

claude · offer-suite MCP6 tool calls · example run

  1. You asked: Which kit makes us the most per order?

    Tool call: get_offer_economics OF_DEV_KITS1.1s

    Ritual Set one-time: $49.77 per order (62.2%).

    The subscription starts at 32.7% and renews at 62.3%.

  2. You asked: Drop the frother from the Ritual Set gift. Worth it?

    Tool call: simulate_offer OF_DEV_KITS · draft vs live v11.4s

    Ritual Set first order: $19.18 → $25.38.

    That is its cost and one pick. Break-even lift: 0%.

    Nothing was stored.

  3. You asked: Store it and publish it as an arm.

    Tool call: replace_offer OF_DEV_KITS · draft v20.9s

    publish_offer proves v2 with real carts, then

    mints codes and flips it live. Publish? (y/n)

    You asked: y

    Tool call: publish_offer OF_DEV_KITS v2 · as arm · confirm1.2s

    Queued. run 8f2c1d04.

    Tool call: get_publish_run OF_DEV_KITS · run 8f2c1d042.1s

    5 of 5 carts pass. Charged $58.60, promised $58.60.

    v2 is a verified arm.

  4. You asked: Test it against live, fifty-fifty.

    Tool call: create_experiment OF_DEV_KITS · v1 50% · v2 50%1.0s

    Running. 57,844 visitors per arm for a 10.0% lift.

Start with the math.

The calculators run the same margin engine as the product. The playbooks price common offers on sourced costs, the glossary defines every figure, and the comparisons say, with sources, where other tools win.

Every offer, priced to the cent.

Offer Suite opens to Shopify brands a few at a time. Join the waitlist and we'll invite you when it opens to yours.

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